Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 16.405640 19.046621 21.915418 25.255284 29.028452 33.150623 37.986243
2025-07-27 12.288782 15.994253 20.417860 26.048379 32.980750 41.190472 51.597643
2025-08-03 9.618412 13.724340 19.006941 26.211510 35.677743 47.576849 63.532611
2025-08-10 7.606876 11.761790 17.463852 25.708233 37.141317 52.228903 73.394127
2025-08-17 6.113085 10.170345 16.072036 25.058475 38.121210 56.095158 82.293947
2025-08-24 4.958239 8.837772 14.795187 24.307541 38.735687 59.342855 90.412546
2025-08-31 3.988004 7.603847 13.455119 23.230588 38.663234 61.482830 96.975626
2025-09-07 3.519143 7.110321 13.187053 23.733066 40.945168 67.132251 108.909254
2025-09-14 3.111331 6.647801 12.892898 24.127983 43.043815 72.593622 120.848032
2025-09-21 2.649701 6.001360 12.187020 23.731704 43.789705 75.964974 129.741128
2025-09-28 2.235436 5.369498 11.413990 23.111861 44.070061 78.563144 137.515181
2025-10-05 2.156843 5.409052 11.885761 24.752119 48.315466 87.808531 156.377592
2025-10-12 2.004318 5.292736 12.095635 26.032177 52.218021 97.042950 176.296532
2025-10-19 1.797588 5.024625 11.983978 26.723251 55.188666 105.022878 194.843471
2025-10-26 1.570068 4.659508 11.617378 26.868016 57.159781 111.414018 211.115490
2025-11-02 1.326133 4.196811 10.966709 26.349937 57.810793 115.500469 223.644877
2025-11-09 1.111636 3.756700 10.291663 25.685424 58.090841 118.900850 235.128008
2025-11-16 0.925798 3.345960 9.613392 24.918055 58.071082 121.711948 245.676906
2025-11-23 0.753410 2.925057 8.834869 23.817568 57.245285 122.921316 253.341006
2025-11-30 0.681553 2.794759 8.765015 24.331030 59.827929 130.771606 273.654269
2025-12-07 0.613315 2.658001 8.655676 24.734562 62.200289 138.344442 293.828797
2025-12-14 0.523759 2.421676 8.236181 24.329638 62.760906 142.362280 307.447568
2025-12-21 0.439957 2.178368 7.751854 23.696236 62.742304 145.195275 318.906797